One of the things I like the best when I place my bets at America’s Bookie is my futures bets. Your job as a sports bettor is to predict the future and not look back on the past. There is a guy on the Giants radio show, Charlie from Portland, Maine who is always trying to pick up players who might have been good in the past, but now maybe have injuries or have lost a step. He is wrong. Your job as a bettor is to look forward. The odds makers are setting the odds based on how much action they are going to get on certain team based on how the public perceives a certain team or player at the time.
I’ll give you a perfect example, I bet the Lions before the season at odds of 15-1 to win the NFC North. They are currently in first place. I looked at the odds and the odds were very low on the Packers and Vikings. In every division there are only 4 possible winners of that certain division. Injuries happen as do teams not playing to their potential. That was the case here.
Minnesota lost their quarterback and running back, and I have no idea what is wrong with the Packers. The Bears just plain suck, so that left the Lions who have a great QB, a good offense, play great at home and knew that they would be competitive in every game. I said to myself, they have really good chance to win this division especially if as I said if something strange happens. Low and behold, Bridgewater is gone for the year and Aaron Rodgers looks like he cares more about doing commercials then playing football. As stands now the Lions may win this thing and I will get paid well.
Earlier this year I bet Villanova to win the NCAA Championship at good odds and they did. I also took 2 other teams, Xavier and I can remember the other, but I used 3 bullets in the gun and one hit the target and I still made good money. You take this approach in tennis and golf as well. In tennis look at the draw and see who has an easy draw and check the odds and take shot, if you are right you get paid well, if your are wrong you didn’t lose that much and still had action on the tourney. I had customer who would pick 4-5 solid golfers at long odds and just keep his fingers crossed and he normally won every week. It was uncanny.
I even made money on the Presidential election as I started betting Trump last year and whenever the odds went up I added a bit more and got paid very well. The bet I was most proud of turned out to be a loser but the odds were so out of whack that even though I lost I’m happy I took the chance. I bet Ted Cruz early on and then he had a bad week and the odds blossomed to over 100-1. I said to myself if Trump makes a mistake Cruz will be the next President and at those ridiculous odds it’s worth the investment. It’s being a value investor. It’s just like buying options on the stock market or commodities. I scored on Brexit and Trump. Invest very little and if you are correct and you’ve done your homework you will get paid very well. I learned years ago as an investor its “Risk vs. Reward”. Keep your losses to a minimum and try to maximize your profits.
I also have the Giants and Chiefs to wins the Super Bowl at odds of over 30-1. Will I be right on those bets? Who knows, but what I have done here I put money on 2 teams that are playing well, “have a punchers chance”, and at least I’m going to get a good “bang for my buck”. (It doesn’t hurt as well that I had dream over the summer in which I saw Alex Smith throwing passes in the Super Bowl). If I’m wrong I lose very little, if I’m right I will get paid very well. Sometimes you miss target by a mile, I bet that Dallas would have the worst record in the league based on Romo going down and their terrible secondary. What I didn’t know was how good the rookie QB from Miss St. would play. It doesn’t matter however because if you using this approach and you hit on 4-5 solid futures bets a year, you will finish the year in the black and making money is the main goal.
I’ll give you a few bets as of right to now to look at. The Cardinals are 38-1 to win the Super Bowl, Houston is 55-1, and if you like something a little more realistic the Steelers are 20-1. The Cardinals are very good team and in good shape to make a late push for the playoffs. If they get in who knows what will happen. Houston most likely is going to win the South, that means a home playoff game. Then maybe pull an upset and then they are in the Conference Title game, and if Pittsburgh can make it into the playoffs, they can win the Super Bowl, they’ve done it before. Do you see my point here? Invest very little and maybe with a little bit of luck you can get paid very well. Good luck guys.